Monday Crushes Expectations and Delivers Strong Guidance; Stock Soars
Monday beats Q4 expectations with $1.08 EPS vs. $0.79 expected; delivers strong forward guidance—projects 2025 revenue between $1.208B-$1.221B, surpassing Wall Street's $1.21B estimate. Shares surge in pre-market trading
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Monday.com delivered a blowout Q4 2024 earnings report, posting $268 million in revenue and $1.08 in earnings per share (EPS)—well above analyst expectations of $261.3 million in revenue and $0.79 EPS.
The company’s 2025 outlook also impressed, with projected revenue between $1.208 billion and $1.221 billion (midpoint: $1.214 billion), exceeding Wall Street’s $1.21 billion estimate. For Q1 2025, Monday forecasts
$274M-$276M in revenue, ahead of analysts' $273.9M expectation. Additionally, the company expects 2025 operating income between $134M-$142M (11%-12% margin) and free cash flow of $300M-$308M.
Following these results, Monday’s stock is surging in pre-market trading. Just ten days ago, the company announced plans to hire 400 employees in Israel—a move that hinted at strong earnings ahead.
Key Earnings Highlights
Q4 2024 Non-GAAP operating income: $40.3M, up from $21.2M in Q4 2023. Operating margin: 15%, compared to 10% last year. Net cash from operations: $76.7M vs. $58.5M in Q4 2023. Free cash flow: $72.7M, up from $55.4M in Q4 2023.
- Monday Soars 30%: "We'll Keep Growing Through Existing Customers and AI"
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For full-year 2024, Monday reported:
Revenue: $972M, a 33% YoY increase, beating the $965.6M consensus. Non-GAAP operating income: $132.4M,
up from $61.6M in 2023. Operating margin: 14%, compared to 8% in 2023. EPS: $3.50, exceeding the $3.20 analyst estimate, and up from $1.85 in 2023.
The company also reported a 112% Net Dollar Retention rate and solid customer growth: Customers with 10+ users: 59,214 (+10%), Customers with $50K+ ARR: 3,201 (+39%), Customers with $100K+ ARR: 1,207 (+45%).
"2024 was a remarkable year for Monday, marked by accelerated innovation, new product development, and successful marketing execution, which drove strong demand across organizations
of all sizes," said Roy Mann and Eran Zinman, co-CEOs of Monday.com.
"We are proud to expand our product offerings with Monday Service, which has already gained rapid adoption among
both existing and new customers. In 2025, we will significantly increase our AI development efforts, integrating AI Blocks and launching Digital Workforce, a new framework powered by AI agents. We believe AI will be a game-changer—helping our customers streamline
workflows and scale faster than ever before.
"Our 2024 results validate our commitment to sustainable, efficient growth, even in a dynamic macroeconomic environment."
Eliran Glazer, CFO of Monday.com, added: "This year, we achieved record operating profit (GAAP and non-GAAP), record free cash flow, and surpassed $1 billion in ARR for the first time. We
enter 2025 with strong confidence in our growth and expansion opportunities."
Monday Refuses to Play the "Earnings Management" Game
Despite
consistently strong results, Monday faced sell-offs in previous quarters because investors felt its numbers, while solid, didn't beat expectations "the right way."
As we previously
reported, some Wall Street companies manipulate earnings guidance, subtly shifting profits between quarters or issuing lower forecasts to ensure an "easy beat." Monday refuses to play that game.
In an earlier interview, CFO Eliran Glazer acknowledged that some companies artificially smooth earnings, but said: "That can lead to dangerous territory." As a result, Monday has faced market punishment in the past for its transparency. But this time,
investors are rewarding the company, sending the stock soaring in pre-market trading.
With its pre-market surge, Monday.com is now the sixth-largest Israeli company on Wall Street, boasting a $12.88 billion market cap. If the gains hold during regular trading, Monday could surpass Mobileye and Elbit Systems, climbing to fourth place—trailing only CyberArk, Teva, and Check Point in market value.
Israel Consumer Price Index (CPI) in January rose by 0.6%, hitting the upper end of economists' forecasts
With inflation still high, a budget that remains loose and far from approval, and rising inflation in the U.S. that could spill over into the local market, the chances of an early interest rate cut are fading. While most economists still anticipate
a rate cut in the second quarter, the immediate prospects for monetary easing are diminishing.
Housing prices continued to rise, with November-December data showing a 0.4% increase, reflecting an annual surge of nearly 8% in 2024. The Consumer Price Index for January was calculated using an updated methodology, incorporating
a new weighting system and a revised base period (2024 average = 100 points). Over the past twelve months (January 2025 vs. January 2024), the CPI increased by 3.8%.
Significant
price increases were recorded in fresh fruit (up 2.5%), miscellaneous expenses (up 3.3%), home maintenance (up 2.1%), food (up 1.0%), and rent (up 0.4%). Conversely, clothing and footwear saw a notable drop of 4.2%, fresh vegetables declined by 2.0%, and housing
services for owner-occupiers fell by 0.7%.
Rent prices showed a 2.6% increase for tenants renewing contracts, while new tenants (in units where there was a tenant turnover) saw
a 3.3% rise.
Construction Input Index Surges by 2.6% in One Month—A Statistical Distortion?
The Construction Input Price Index for residential
buildings rose by 2.6% in January 2025, reaching 137.1 points compared to 133.6 points the previous month. This sharp increase includes both price changes occurring in January and an adjustment for wage costs in the construction sector, covering the period
from October 2023 to December 2024. Essentially, for an extended period, labor costs were not properly accounted for in the index, despite contractors' repeated complaints—this time, justifiably so. As a result, these costs were suddenly reflected in the January
index, creating a data distortion that misrepresents the real cost trends in the construction sector.
- ה-CPI של אוגוסט: הקריאה השנתית תואמת לצפי, אבל הקצב החודשי מפתיע ללמעלה
- מדד המחירים הכי קריטי בשנתיים האחרונות - מה ייחשב להפתעה ומה לאכזבה?
- המלצת המערכת: כל הכותרות 24/7
Excluding labor costs, the Construction Input Price Index still rose by 1.0%.
Over the past year, it has increased by 5.3%, largely driven by a 9.2% rise in labor costs and a 3.2% increase in equipment and vehicle rentals. The price index for materials and products climbed by 1.3% in January, with sharp increases in ready-mix concrete
(up 5.2%), mortar (up 4.0%), wall and floor tiles (up 1.8%), and marble (up 1.1%). On the other hand, prices for glass (-5.5%), construction iron (-2.3%), and iron mesh (-1.3%) declined. The wage index for construction workers jumped by 4.5% in January 2025.