After Doubling in 2024, What’s Next for Teva’s Earnings?
Wall Street Awaits Q4 and Full-Year Results—Will Teva Maintain Its Momentum?
Teva Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: TEVA) is set to release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings today before the market opens. The Israeli drugmaker has been one of the year’s biggest comeback stories, with its stock surging over 100%—a rally driven by robust earnings growth, strategic debt reduction, and renewed confidence in its innovative drug pipeline.
With shares back in the spotlight, investors will be watching closely to see whether Teva can maintain its positive trajectory and deliver strong forward guidance for 2025.
What Analysts Expect
Wall Street analysts forecast Q4 revenue of $4.12 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.70. For the full year, expectations stand at $16.42 billion
in revenue and $2.47 EPS—in line with Teva’s previous guidance of $16.1-$16.5 billion in revenue and $2.40-$2.50 EPS.
While the Q4 numbers will provide insights into Teva’s recent
performance, the real focus will be on management’s outlook for 2025. Analysts currently project $17.09 billion in revenue and $2.78 billion in net profit for the upcoming year.
- אופנהיימר: אפסייד של 30% בטבע
- האם טבע היא הזדמנות? סמנכ"ל הכספים של טבע: “הוכחנו שהאסטרטגיה שלנו עובדת"
- המלצת המערכת: כל הכותרות 24/7
During
a recent Bizportal Investment Conference, Teva CFO Eli Kalif offered an optimistic outlook, stating that the company is “on track across all divisions,” including its innovative drugs Austedo, Ajovy, and Uzedy, as well as its generics and biosimilars business,
which continues to expand with 18 products in development.
2024: A Transformational Year for Teva
This
past year marked a major turning point for Teva as the company successfully executed a two-pronged strategy—aggressively reducing debt while shifting its focus toward high-margin proprietary drugs.
Teva has now delivered seven consecutive quarters of revenue growth, underscoring the success of its transition away from reliance on generics. The company also put the long-standing opioid litigation behind it, finalizing a $4.3 billion settlement
related to past acquisitions.
One of the biggest catalysts for Teva’s stock in 2024 was the announcement of strong clinical trial results for its joint venture with Sanofi (NASDAQ:
SNY), sending shares soaring 20% in a single day—marking their first return above the $20 level in over six years. The company previously estimated the total addressable market for the treatment at $28 billion, covering 10 million patients worldwide.
While the trial remains in Phase 2, a successful Phase 3 outcome could significantly strengthen Teva’s foothold in the high-margin branded drug space—an area that commands higher valuations
compared to generics.
On its most recent investor call, Teva executives emphasized that the treatment “outperforms competitors” and highlighted potential milestone payments of
up to $1 billion—including an initial $600 million upon hitting key benchmarks and an additional $400 million upon launch. However, management noted that these payments will not be factored into 2025 guidance.
Wall Street Remains Bullish
Despite Teva’s triple-digit rally in 2024, analysts see further upside.
Last week, UBS initiated a Buy rating on the stock with a $30 price target, reflecting 39% upside from current levels. The firm expects Teva’s 2025 revenue to exceed current consensus, forecasting $17.17 billion in sales and $5.08
billion in EBITDA. UBS analysts stated that “Teva is poised to attract long-term investors following a period of significant risk reduction.”
Similarly, Bank of America recently
named Teva one of its top five pharma picks, assigning a $26 price target—implying 21% upside. BofA analysts highlighted Teva’s successful monetization of key assets, particularly Austedo, while also pointing to its late-stage R&D pipeline, including long-acting
injectables for schizophrenia and Duvakitug, which is currently undergoing clinical trials for ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s disease.
Looking ahead, analysts identify three key
catalysts for Teva’s continued momentum: Quarterly Earnings Performance – Expectations for continued single-digit sales growth in 2025. Deleveraging & Strategic Portfolio Management – Potential divestment of raw material divisions to further reduce debt. Sanofi
Partnership & R&D Pipeline – Upcoming Phase 3 data readouts for Duvakitug could provide another strong tailwind for the stock.
Bottom Line: Can Teva Keep Delivering?
After a blockbuster year, Teva enters 2025 with stronger fundamentals, a healthier balance sheet, and a growing presence in high-margin therapeutics.
With major catalysts ahead—including
earnings, pipeline updates, and ongoing debt reduction—investors will be watching closely to see if Teva can sustain its upward trajectory and finally reclaim its place among leading global pharmaceutical companies.
Israel Consumer Price Index (CPI) in January rose by 0.6%, hitting the upper end of economists' forecasts
With inflation still high, a budget that remains loose and far from approval, and rising inflation in the U.S. that could spill over into the local market, the chances of an early interest rate cut are fading. While most economists still anticipate
a rate cut in the second quarter, the immediate prospects for monetary easing are diminishing.
Housing prices continued to rise, with November-December data showing a 0.4% increase, reflecting an annual surge of nearly 8% in 2024. The Consumer Price Index for January was calculated using an updated methodology, incorporating
a new weighting system and a revised base period (2024 average = 100 points). Over the past twelve months (January 2025 vs. January 2024), the CPI increased by 3.8%.
Significant
price increases were recorded in fresh fruit (up 2.5%), miscellaneous expenses (up 3.3%), home maintenance (up 2.1%), food (up 1.0%), and rent (up 0.4%). Conversely, clothing and footwear saw a notable drop of 4.2%, fresh vegetables declined by 2.0%, and housing
services for owner-occupiers fell by 0.7%.
Rent prices showed a 2.6% increase for tenants renewing contracts, while new tenants (in units where there was a tenant turnover) saw
a 3.3% rise.
Construction Input Index Surges by 2.6% in One Month—A Statistical Distortion?
The Construction Input Price Index for residential
buildings rose by 2.6% in January 2025, reaching 137.1 points compared to 133.6 points the previous month. This sharp increase includes both price changes occurring in January and an adjustment for wage costs in the construction sector, covering the period
from October 2023 to December 2024. Essentially, for an extended period, labor costs were not properly accounted for in the index, despite contractors' repeated complaints—this time, justifiably so. As a result, these costs were suddenly reflected in the January
index, creating a data distortion that misrepresents the real cost trends in the construction sector.
- ה-CPI של אוגוסט: הקריאה השנתית תואמת לצפי, אבל הקצב החודשי מפתיע ללמעלה
- מדד המחירים הכי קריטי בשנתיים האחרונות - מה ייחשב להפתעה ומה לאכזבה?
- המלצת המערכת: כל הכותרות 24/7
Excluding labor costs, the Construction Input Price Index still rose by 1.0%.
Over the past year, it has increased by 5.3%, largely driven by a 9.2% rise in labor costs and a 3.2% increase in equipment and vehicle rentals. The price index for materials and products climbed by 1.3% in January, with sharp increases in ready-mix concrete
(up 5.2%), mortar (up 4.0%), wall and floor tiles (up 1.8%), and marble (up 1.1%). On the other hand, prices for glass (-5.5%), construction iron (-2.3%), and iron mesh (-1.3%) declined. The wage index for construction workers jumped by 4.5% in January 2025.
