Aerodrome Heads to the U.S. – Is This Merger a Game-Changer or Just Smoke and Mirrors?
The company signed a non-binding term sheet to acquire a U.S. drone firm in a deal valued at a minimum of $32 million. Where will the money come from? And does this signal struggles in fulfilling its major order?
Aerodrome announced it has signed a non-binding term sheet to acquire a U.S. drone company that provides solutions and products to government agencies, security organizations, and civilian customers. The deal is expected to
be financed through a combination of cash and stock, with the target company’s valuation set at no less than $32 million. Aerodrome will pay 40%-45% in cash—at least $18 million—while the remaining amount will be settled in shares allocated to the target company’s
shareholders.
Where will the $18 million come from? Aerodrome doesn't have that kind of cash on hand. Why pursue such a deal while seemingly being in a strong position with large
orders secured? It raises questions. There are many uncertainties surrounding Aerodrome. The company, a long-time player in the drone industry, should have been thriving, yet its core business—providing drone services to various companies—has been shrinking.
Surprisingly, it shifted focus to manufacturing drones. But why?
After announcing a major deal to supply drones worth 137 million shekels (roughly $38.5 million), Aerodrome has
since reported smaller deals that suggest its potential isn't as big as initially thought. This includes launching a manufacturing operation in which it doesn't hold full control.
Can Aerodrome Really Acquire a Larger Company?
Now, Aerodrome is preparing to buy a company that is bigger than itself in terms of valuation. How will that happen? That’s a question for CEO Roy Dagani, who has yet to respond
to our request for an interview.
Perhaps this all connects—maybe the acquisition is the answer to how Aerodrome intends to fulfill its massive 137-million-shekel drone order despite
lacking in-house manufacturing capabilities. Could buying an established firm be the missing piece?
According to the term sheet, the target company is a U.S.-based drone provider
operating in multiple markets. It runs a large technical support center in the U.S. and serves a diverse customer base. Acquiring it could significantly expand Aerodrome’s presence in the U.S. and give it new distribution channels.
The deal is contingent on due diligence, regulatory approvals, and securing financing for the cash component. Aerodrome plans to fund it through equity issuance, a combination of equity and debt financing (up
to 30%), or other financial instruments. The target company’s controlling shareholders have committed to remaining in management roles for at least four years.
If completed, this
acquisition could enhance Aerodrome’s foothold in the U.S. drone market and open new customer opportunities. The target company has agreed to an exclusivity period until May 1, 2025, meaning it won’t negotiate with other potential buyers during this time.
Aerodrome delayed announcing the deal until certain regulatory and legal constraints were cleared, which could have impacted its terms or completion. The acquisition aligns with Aerodrome’s
strategy to expand in the U.S., a goal it set back in 2022.
Is Aerodrome Searching for a Lifeline?
A few months ago, Aerodrome secured a major
order worth 137 million shekels to supply drones and related products to a government customer. The timing of today’s announcement suggests the company is looking for a lifeline—a move that could help it fulfill existing orders. Any delay in delivering the
order could impact the company's growth trajectory.
Aerodrome isn’t a new player on the stock exchange. It has demonstrated sales capabilities and has secured significant orders.
The company recently signed an MoU to establish a UAV manufacturing plant in partnership with an Israeli defense company. On paper, its potential is huge—yet its stock price does not reflect that.
The market remains skeptical that Aerodrome can execute its orders and generate meaningful profits. Investors seem to be judging the company with extreme caution. With a market cap of just 75 million shekels, its stock initially rose following the massive
order announcement but has since fallen back.
The company is still unprofitable, though that’s common in the sector. The large order is supposed to propel Aerodrome into profitability,
as it exceeds its current sales by a significant margin. However, failing to meet delivery schedules and customer expectations could be disastrous. If the U.S. acquisition goes through, it could provide Aerodrome with a fresh start—perhaps even a much-needed
escape route into a new phase of growth.
Israel Consumer Price Index (CPI) in January rose by 0.6%, hitting the upper end of economists' forecasts
With inflation still high, a budget that remains loose and far from approval, and rising inflation in the U.S. that could spill over into the local market, the chances of an early interest rate cut are fading. While most economists still anticipate
a rate cut in the second quarter, the immediate prospects for monetary easing are diminishing.
Housing prices continued to rise, with November-December data showing a 0.4% increase, reflecting an annual surge of nearly 8% in 2024. The Consumer Price Index for January was calculated using an updated methodology, incorporating
a new weighting system and a revised base period (2024 average = 100 points). Over the past twelve months (January 2025 vs. January 2024), the CPI increased by 3.8%.
Significant
price increases were recorded in fresh fruit (up 2.5%), miscellaneous expenses (up 3.3%), home maintenance (up 2.1%), food (up 1.0%), and rent (up 0.4%). Conversely, clothing and footwear saw a notable drop of 4.2%, fresh vegetables declined by 2.0%, and housing
services for owner-occupiers fell by 0.7%.
Rent prices showed a 2.6% increase for tenants renewing contracts, while new tenants (in units where there was a tenant turnover) saw
a 3.3% rise.
Construction Input Index Surges by 2.6% in One Month—A Statistical Distortion?
The Construction Input Price Index for residential
buildings rose by 2.6% in January 2025, reaching 137.1 points compared to 133.6 points the previous month. This sharp increase includes both price changes occurring in January and an adjustment for wage costs in the construction sector, covering the period
from October 2023 to December 2024. Essentially, for an extended period, labor costs were not properly accounted for in the index, despite contractors' repeated complaints—this time, justifiably so. As a result, these costs were suddenly reflected in the January
index, creating a data distortion that misrepresents the real cost trends in the construction sector.
- ה-CPI של אוגוסט: הקריאה השנתית תואמת לצפי, אבל הקצב החודשי מפתיע ללמעלה
- מדד המחירים הכי קריטי בשנתיים האחרונות - מה ייחשב להפתעה ומה לאכזבה?
- המלצת המערכת: כל הכותרות 24/7
Excluding labor costs, the Construction Input Price Index still rose by 1.0%.
Over the past year, it has increased by 5.3%, largely driven by a 9.2% rise in labor costs and a 3.2% increase in equipment and vehicle rentals. The price index for materials and products climbed by 1.3% in January, with sharp increases in ready-mix concrete
(up 5.2%), mortar (up 4.0%), wall and floor tiles (up 1.8%), and marble (up 1.1%). On the other hand, prices for glass (-5.5%), construction iron (-2.3%), and iron mesh (-1.3%) declined. The wage index for construction workers jumped by 4.5% in January 2025.
