Bank Hapoalim Delivers Strong Forecast: Annual Profit of NIS 8.5-9.5 Billion Over the Next Two Years
Solid Earnings for Bank Hapoalim, Targeting 14%-15% Return on Equity; CEO Idan Antebi: "Our Strategic Goals and Focus Areas Serve as a Compass for Leading the Banking Sector in the Future"
Bank Hapoalim posted excellent results for 2024, reporting a net profit of NIS 7,635 million, up from NIS 7,360 million in 2023. The increase was primarily driven by higher net interest income and lower credit loss expenses. However, net profit was
significantly impacted by a recorded expense of approximately NIS 597 million (NIS 400 million after tax) related to an efficiency plan, along with a special tax imposed on banks. The return on equity (ROE) for 2024 stood at 13.8%, compared to 15.0% in 2023,
with the decline partially attributed to the efficiency plan expenses.
In the fourth quarter, net profit came in at NIS 1,554 million, down from NIS 1,905 million in the previous quarter and NIS 1,761 million in the same quarter
last year. The fourth-quarter ROE was 10.8%, compared to 13.6% in the prior quarter and 14.0% a year earlier. The decline in Q4 results was primarily due to the efficiency plan expenses—without them, the bank’s profit would have exceeded NIS 2 billion.
Credit Loss Expenses Decline Sharply
Bank Hapoalim recorded credit loss expenses of NIS 693 million in 2024, down significantly from NIS 1,879 million in 2023. Most of the expense was attributed to group-level credit loss provisions and an increase in automatic write-offs. While the bank continued to grow its group-level provisions in 2024, it did so at a more moderate pace, reflecting credit portfolio expansion amid ongoing uncertainty and improved macroeconomic adjustments.
Additionally, net income of approximately NIS 250 million was recorded from individual provisions, mainly due to recoveries from a small number of borrowers—compared to an expense of NIS 153 million in 2023.
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Impressive Outlook: Profit Expected to Reach NIS 8.5-9.5 Billion Per Year
The bank’s board of directors announced a total profit distribution of 40% of Q4 net income, amounting to approximately NIS 622 million. This includes a NIS 372 million cash dividend,
with the remaining NIS 250 million allocated for another round of share buybacks.
But what matters most to investors is the outlook. Bank Hapoalim has set ambitious financial targets for 2025-2026, forecasting an annual net profit
of NIS 8.5-9.5 billion, a return on equity of 14%-15%, and an average annual credit portfolio growth of around 7%. Additionally, the bank aims to distribute at least 50% of net profits as dividends.
Bank Hapoalim Chairman Noam Hangebi
emphasized that the bank’s financial strength reflects disciplined management and the resilience of the Israeli economy. "Despite the challenges we faced this year, the bank delivered significant value to shareholders—both in balance sheet figures, which show
impressive credit and deposit growth alongside a stronger capital base, and in profitability metrics, which highlight revenue growth and tight cost control."
Israel Consumer Price Index (CPI) in January rose by 0.6%, hitting the upper end of economists' forecasts
With inflation still high, a budget that remains loose and far from approval, and rising inflation in the U.S. that could spill over into the local market, the chances of an early interest rate cut are fading. While most economists still anticipate
a rate cut in the second quarter, the immediate prospects for monetary easing are diminishing.
Housing prices continued to rise, with November-December data showing a 0.4% increase, reflecting an annual surge of nearly 8% in 2024. The Consumer Price Index for January was calculated using an updated methodology, incorporating
a new weighting system and a revised base period (2024 average = 100 points). Over the past twelve months (January 2025 vs. January 2024), the CPI increased by 3.8%.
Significant
price increases were recorded in fresh fruit (up 2.5%), miscellaneous expenses (up 3.3%), home maintenance (up 2.1%), food (up 1.0%), and rent (up 0.4%). Conversely, clothing and footwear saw a notable drop of 4.2%, fresh vegetables declined by 2.0%, and housing
services for owner-occupiers fell by 0.7%.
Rent prices showed a 2.6% increase for tenants renewing contracts, while new tenants (in units where there was a tenant turnover) saw
a 3.3% rise.
Construction Input Index Surges by 2.6% in One Month—A Statistical Distortion?
The Construction Input Price Index for residential
buildings rose by 2.6% in January 2025, reaching 137.1 points compared to 133.6 points the previous month. This sharp increase includes both price changes occurring in January and an adjustment for wage costs in the construction sector, covering the period
from October 2023 to December 2024. Essentially, for an extended period, labor costs were not properly accounted for in the index, despite contractors' repeated complaints—this time, justifiably so. As a result, these costs were suddenly reflected in the January
index, creating a data distortion that misrepresents the real cost trends in the construction sector.
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Excluding labor costs, the Construction Input Price Index still rose by 1.0%.
Over the past year, it has increased by 5.3%, largely driven by a 9.2% rise in labor costs and a 3.2% increase in equipment and vehicle rentals. The price index for materials and products climbed by 1.3% in January, with sharp increases in ready-mix concrete
(up 5.2%), mortar (up 4.0%), wall and floor tiles (up 1.8%), and marble (up 1.1%). On the other hand, prices for glass (-5.5%), construction iron (-2.3%), and iron mesh (-1.3%) declined. The wage index for construction workers jumped by 4.5% in January 2025.